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		<title>Mexico&#8217;s Home Run King Hector Espino</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/22/mexicos-home-run-kind-hector-espino/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 02:27:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Anaheim Angels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball Abroad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[St. Louis Cardinals]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I read this great article by Eric Nusbaum on http://www.sbnation.com about Mexican slugger Hector Espino today.  Most American baseball fans have heard of Espino, if at all, as the answer to the trivia question &#8220;who hit the most home runs in minor league history?&#8221;  Since the Mexican summer league is today categorized as a AAA [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3385&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read <a href="http://www.sbnation.com/longform/2013/5/21/4348250/hector-espino-mexico-baseball-home-run-king-profile"><strong>this great article</strong></a> by Eric Nusbaum on <a href="http://www.sbnation.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.sbnation.com</a> about Mexican slugger <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Hector_Espino"><strong>Hector Espino</strong></a> today.  Most American baseball fans have heard of Espino, if at all, as the answer to the trivia question &#8220;who hit the most home runs in minor league history?&#8221;  Since the Mexican summer league is today categorized as a AAA minor league, Espino&#8217;s exploits south of the border technically set the record.</p>
<p>The two questions that arise in anyone familiar with Espino&#8217;s career are (1) why didn&#8217;t he ever play in the major leagues; and (2) could he have been a major league star?</p>
<p>The article linked above suggests that there is some mystery as to why Espino never played in the major leagues.  However, the article, which references a detailed Spanish language biography of Espino written by Horacio Ibarra Alvarez, gives plenty of legitimate-sounding reasons why Espino elected to remain in Mexico.</p>
<p>As background, Espino&#8217;s entire United States career consisted of 32 games played late in the season for the 1964 Jacksonville Suns, the team that won the AAA International League pennant that year.  Espino was then 25 years old and had just finished off a Mexican League season in which he had led the league with 46 HRs and a .371 batting average.</p>
<p>Espino didn&#8217;t hit a lot of home runs in Jacksonville, a tough home run park, and the reports indicate his defense wasn&#8217;t very good.  However, he still hit .300 with an .838 OPS for a team that as a whole batted .244 with a .677 OPS.  [1964 was a tough year for hitters throughout professional baseball.]</p>
<p>Espino&#8217;s Mexican League team sold his contract to the St. Louis Cardinals for $30,000 prior to the 1965 season.  However, Espino insisted that he receive a portion of the purchase price if he was going to leave his homeland to play in the U.S., where at least at first he wasn&#8217;t likely to make as much money as he was already making in Mexico.  [In 1965, as a rookie, it's unlikely he would have been payed any more than $6,000, the then minimum -- young players didn't start to make the big bucks until the players' union came in and began to bargain a year or two later.]</p>
<p>Espino reached an agreement with Monterrey Sultanes owner Anuar Canavati that Espino would receive 10% of the purchase price &#8212; i.e., $3,000.  However, when the time came for Espino to report to Florida for Spring Training in 1965, Canavati had not paid the promised money, and Espino returned to Mexico.  [Six years later, Mexico passed a law providing that any athlete sold to an international team had to receive 25% of the purchase price.]</p>
<p>In 1967, Espino reached a verbal agreement to join the California Angels, who hoped a Mexican star would appeal to Southern California&#8217;s large Chicano population, but on the eve of Spring Training, Angels manager Bill Rigney announced that he didn&#8217;t want any of the team&#8217;s Mexican players crossing the border during Spring Training (the Angels were training in Palm Springs that year).  According to Nusbaum, the <em>Long Beach Press-Telegram</em> reported the matter in a article entitled, &#8220;<em>Rigney Puts Check on Angel Wetbacks</em>.&#8221;</p>
<p>Espino lived in Northern Mexico, and he was a proud man, so he decided not to report.  Nusbaum writes that Angels assistant general manager Marvin Milkes then wrote Espino an angry letter accusing Espino of being scared, of wasting an opportunity, and of &#8220;wanting to be a one-eyed man in the land of the blind.&#8221;  If accurate, and this kind of arrogant attitude was typical of MLB executives of this era, it&#8217;s no wonder Espino told the Angels to pound sand.  Unlike American players, Espino had options &#8212; he could stay at home in Mexico, where he was the country&#8217;s biggest baseball star and was making a good living.</p>
<p>Espino reportedly had later offers from other major league teams, including the Yankees in 1970, but nothing ever came of it.  Of course, after 1967, Espino was no longer young, greatly reducing his desirability to major league teams.</p>
<p>Could Espino have been a successful major league player if he had joined the Cardinals in 1965 or the Angels in 1967?  Very likely.</p>
<p>While Espino appears to have missed half of the Mexican League season in 1965, following a long hold-out that ended only with the death of Sultanes owner Canavati, who fell of his horse during a polo match in Texas, in the four years from 1966 through 1969, Espino batted .369, .379, .365 and .304 and slugged 31, 34, 27 and 37 HRs, leading his league in batting average the first three years and in HRs the last two.</p>
<p>After slumping in 1970 and 1971 (he still hit .311 and .319 with power those years), he returned to form in 1972 and 1973, batting .356 and .377 and hitting 37 and 22 HRs, leading his league in the latter category the first year and the former category the next.</p>
<p>According to my 1984 edition of SABR&#8217;s <em>Minor League Baseball Stars</em>, <em>Vol. I</em>, Espino finished his Mexican summer leagues (and brief International League) career with 484 HRs, a .337 batting average, 2,898 hits, 1,597 runs scored and 1,678 RBIs.  He led the Mexican League in batting average five times, HRs and runs scored four times each and in RBIs twice. Aside from being the all-time minor league home run leader, his RBI total is 8th best all-time.</p>
<p>Espino slowed down considerably as he got older, but still managed to play until he was about 45 years old.  Espino also played Mexican winter league ball every year, usually with and against a large number of American players, and, according to Nusbaum, hit nearly 300 more career HRs there.</p>
<p>Hector Espino will never be well known in the United States.  However, just because a player never played in the major leagues, it doesn&#8217;t mean he wasn&#8217;t a great player in his own right.</p>
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		<title>Contemporary Minor League Aces</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/18/contemporary-minor-league-aces/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 18 May 2013 20:01:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Anaheim Angels]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a two-part series on contemporary minor league stars, who I defined as players with at least 4,000 career plate appearances in the high minors (the AAA and AA levels).  The two parts are here and here. I thought it would also be fun to identify any recent pitchers [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3383&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a two-part series on contemporary minor league stars, who I defined as players with at least 4,000 career plate appearances in the high minors (the AAA and AA levels).  The two parts are <a href="http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/04/27/contemporary-minor-league-stars-part-i/"><strong>here</strong></a> and <a href="http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/04/29/contemporary-minor-league-stars-part-ii/"><strong>here</strong></a>.</p>
<p>I thought it would also be fun to identify any recent pitchers who have had long and successful minor league careers.  Deciding on 1,200 career innings pitched in the high minors as a cut-off (which limits the list to starters and seems to be about the equivalent of my 4,000 plate appearances cut-off for position players), I was able to find only six contemporary pitchers who have accomplished this feat.  However, I was able to find an additional half a dozen or so pitchers who have come awfully close.</p>
<p>One final note before getting on with the list &#8212; for purchases of AA and AAA performance, pitching in the Mexican League counts, but pitching in other foreign leagues (Japan&#8217;s NPB, South Korea&#8217;s KBO, Taiwan, Italy, etc.) does not.  While this is somewhat arbitrary, it makes it easier to use baseball reference to find the qualifying pitchers, and what I am interested in doing is identifying American minor league stars, rather than Americans who have starred in Asia.  Without further ado:</p>
<p>1.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=figuer001nel"><strong>Nelson Figueroa</strong></a> (1,470 AAA innings pitched, 266.2 AA, 499 MLB).  Leading the list of contemporary minor league aces, Figueroa is a smallish right-hander (listed as 6&#8217;1&#8243; and 185 lbs), who has a career minor league of 141-95, by far the most wins and best winning percentage of any recent minor leaguer I could find.  He has a career 3.70 minor league ERA with nearly three strikeouts for every walk allowed.</p>
<p>Nelson was originally drafted by the Mets in the 30th round of the 1995 Draft, and he was only just released in late April of this year by the Diamondbacks after getting off to a brutally bad start for the AAA Reno Aces a month shy of his 39th birthday.</p>
<p>Figueroa pitched in parts of nine major league seasons for six different teams mostly as a spot starter/long reliever.  While his career major league record of 20-35 is pretty bad, his career 4.55 ERA is hardly terrible.</p>
<p>2.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=lorrai001and"><strong>Andrew Lorraine</strong></a> (1,613 AAA, 7.1 AA, 175 MLB).  Once a 4th round draft pick out of Stanford, Lorraine has thrown more innings at the AAA level than any other recent pitcher.  His minor league career record was 110-89 with a 4.15 ERA.</p>
<p>A left-hander, Andrew pitched in parts of seven major league seasons for seven different teams and invariably got hit hard (career MLB ERA of 6.53).  He just didn&#8217;t have the stuff to have a successful major league career, but he clearly knew enough about pitching to excel at the AAA level.  His career ended in 2009 at age 36 playing in the now-defunct independent-A Golden Baseball League.</p>
<p>3.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=fernan001jar"><strong>Jared Fernandez</strong></a> (1,293.1 AAA, 504.1 AA, 108.2 MLB).  A big right-hander, Fernandez pitched more innings in the high minors than anyone else on my list.  He finished his minor league career in 2007 at age 35 with a 105-100 record and a 4.34 ERA.</p>
<p>Jared didn&#8217;t break through to the majors until age 29, and even though he pitched effectively for the Reds in 2002 and the Astros in 2003, he was already past age 30 both of those seasons.  Fernandez&#8217;s career ended with the Hiroshima Carp of Japan&#8217;s NPB.</p>
<p>4.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=george002chr"><strong>Chris George</strong></a> (1,244.1 AAA, 97.1 AA, 237.1 MLB).  The 31st overall pick in the 1998 Draft out of high school, George got numerous opportunities while in his early 20&#8242;s between 2001 and 2004 to establish himself as a starter for the Royals.  However, he didn&#8217;t have major league command, and he was also hit hard, posting a career major league 6.48 ERA with awful numbers at every pitching category.</p>
<p>Chris then settled in as a journeyman AAA starter.  He finished his minor league career in 2012 with an 85-87 record and a 4.70 ERA.</p>
<p>5.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=loux--001sha"><strong>Shane Loux</strong></a> (1,143.1 and counting AAA, 157.2 AA, 144 MLB).  Still pitching effectively, but unspectacularly, for the AAA Fresno Grizzlies this season at age 33, Loux is now 106-109 with a 4.46 ERA for his minor league career. He was once a second round draft pick.</p>
<p>Shane pitched in the majors in 2002-2003 for the Tigers, 2008-2009 for the Angels and last season for the Giants.  Last year&#8217;s performance, in which he posted a 4.97 ERA in 19 relief appearances, was probably his best at the major league level.</p>
<p>6.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=vanhek001and"><strong>Andy Van Hekken</strong></a> (740.1 AAA, 460.2 AA, 30 MLB).  A former 3rd round draft pick, Van Hekken&#8217;s only major league experience came in 2002 at the age of 22 when he went 1-3 in five starts for the Tigers.  His 3.00 ERA looked pretty good, but his other numbers suggested he wasn&#8217;t major league ready.</p>
<p>Andy returned to AAA and never made it back to the Show.  His career minor league record of 122-86 and 3.94 ERA look pretty good, but he never had any big years at AAA and had to use the independent-A Atlantic League several times to keep himself in professional baseball.</p>
<p>Andy went to South Korea to pitch in 2012, where he has established himself as one of the KBO&#8217;s top starters.  He currently has one of the five best ERAs in the young 2013 KBO season.</p>
<p>7.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=dickey001rob"><strong>R. A. Dickey</strong></a> (1,079 AAA, 108.2 AA, 1,113.1 MLB).  Undoubtedly the best pitcher on this list, Dickey&#8217;s career story is well known.  He makes this list with more than 1,000 AAA innings pitched because he has had essentially two professional pitching careers, the first as a regular pitcher and the second as a knuckleballer.</p>
<p>8.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=michal001chr"><strong>Chris Michalak</strong></a> (1,048.2 AAA, 78 AA, 191.1 MLB).  A lefty, Michalak finished his professional career with the AAA Las Vegas 51&#8242;s in 2009 at age 38.  He finished with a minor league career record of 93-90 and a 4.14 ERA.</p>
<p>Michalak pitched fairly well for the Blue Jays and Rangers in 2001 and 2002, but he was already over 30 years old in 2001.</p>
<p>9.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=keisle001ran"><strong>Randy Keisler</strong> </a>(1,027.1 AAA, 116 AA, 150.2 MLB).  Another lefty, Keisler has gone 99-77 with a 3.95 ERA in his minor league career.  He pitched last year in the Atlantic League at age 36.  Keisler pitched parts of six major league seasons for five different teams and almost always got hit hard, posting a career MLB ERA of 6.63 with lots of hits, home runs and walks allowed.</p>
<p>10.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=duckwo001bra"><strong>Brandon Duckworth</strong></a> (1,014 AAA, 167 AA, 511 MLB).  Other than Nelson Figueroa and R. A. Dickey, the only pitcher on this list with a substantial major league career, Duckworth pitched eight seasons in the Show, going 23-34 with a 5.28 ERA mostly as a fifth and spot starter/long reliever.  As a minor leaguer, Brandon has a career 110-74 record with a 3.80 ERA.</p>
<p>Duckworth went to Japan late last season and pitched well enough in six starts to return to the Rakuten Golden Eagles this year at age 37.  After seven starts this year, he is 2-3 with a 4.30 ERA, not good enough for a highly paid foreigner in pitching-dominated NPB.</p>
<p>11.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=cooper001bri"><strong>Brian Cooper</strong></a> (877 AAA, 319.2 AA, 167.2 MLB).  A small right-hander whose professional career ended in 2006 at age 31, Cooper appeared in a total of 13 games for the 2004 and 2005 Giants.  Given that the Giants are the team I follow, I&#8217;m a bit embarrassed to admit that I don&#8217;t really remember Cooper.</p>
<p>Cooper finished his minor league career with an 87-80 record and a 4.61 ERA.  He went 15-9 for the 2003 AAA Charlotte Knights, which is a lot for AAA &#8212; none of the players higher on this list managed to win 15 games in a single year at AAA.</p>
<p>12.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=pettyj001ada"><strong>Adam Pettyjohn</strong></a> (788.1 AAA, 367.1 AA, 69 MLB).  Once a second round draft pick, Pettyjohn had a career minor league record of 85-74 with a 4.23 ERA.  He went 15-6 for the 2008 AAA Louisville Bats.</p>
<p>Pettyjohn pitched briefly for the 2001 Detroit Tigers and the 2008 Cincinnati Reds.  His last season was 2010 for the AAA Buffalo Bisons.</p>
<p>13.  <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=lee---005rob"><strong>Derek Lee</strong></a> (450.2 AAA, 732.2 AA, 0 MLB).  Last and certainly least on this list, Derek Lee is the only player on this list to pitch more innings at AA than AAA.  He never pitched in the majors, which likely also prevented him from making some real money playing in Asia.  He finished his minor league career in the Mexican League in 2008 at age 33 with a final record of 81-84 and 3.61 ERA.</p>
<p>Lee played twelve years of professional baseball and probably never made more than $50,000 a year, if that.  He&#8217;s also unlikely to get a pension in any amount, unlike almost all the other players on this list, who had major league careers just long enough to get some kind of a pension.  Somehow, it doesn&#8217;t seem fair.</p>
<p>If I&#8217;ve missed any pitchers who should be included in my list, please let me know.</p>
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		<title>George Kontos Needs to Pick It Up</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/15/george-kontos-needs-to-pick-it-up/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 03:07:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[New York Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Giants lost 10-6 to the Blue Jays with eight of the runs scored off of Barry Zito and the last two off second-year pitcher George Kontos.  Kontos now has a 4.71 ERA, which is just not good enough for a reliever pitching his home games at AT&#38;T Park on one of the best, if [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3380&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Giants lost 10-6 to the Blue Jays with eight of the runs scored off of <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/z/zitoba01.shtml"><strong>Barry Zito</strong> </a>and the last two off second-year pitcher <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kontoge01.shtml"><strong>George Kontos</strong></a>.  Kontos now has a 4.71 ERA, which is just not good enough for a reliever pitching his home games at AT&amp;T Park on one of the best, if not the best, top-to-bottom staffs in major league baseball.</p>
<p>In fairness to Kontos, he has pitched better than his ERA, at least until today, when he gave up two runs on five hits and a walk in 1.1 innings pitched.  Kontos has struck out 20 batters in 21 IP while allowing only seven walks and three fewer hits than innings pitched.</p>
<p>I like Kontos.  The Giants got him from the Yankees for back-up catcher <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stewach01.shtml"><strong>Chris Stewart</strong></a>, which in my mind (and given the Giants&#8217; current strength at catcher) was little more than a box of cracker jack.  In fairness to the Yankees, they&#8217;ve gotten 77 games and counting out of Stewart, and fangraphs values his contribution to the Bombers to date at $3.8 million, a lot more than Stewart is likely being paid (<a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3878&amp;position=C#value"><strong>fangraphs likes Stewart&#8217;s defense</strong></a>).  Suffice it to say the trade was one that was good for both ballclubs.</p>
<p>Kontos has a good arm and finally broke out in a relief role, after starting his professional career as a starter, at AAA Scranton-Wilkes Barre at age 26 two seasons ago.  He was terrific out of the bullpen for both the AAA Fresno Grizzlies and the Giants last year.  I was hoping he&#8217;d be a solid middle reliever for the Giants at least through age 31.</p>
<p>That might have been too much to hope for.  Kontos was 27 last year, the age at which the largest number of major leaguers have their peak season. Kontos is 28 this year, and he may already be on the decline.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592390"><strong>Heath Hembree</strong></a>, who is three and a half years younger than Kontos, is blowing them away pitching for AAA Fresno.  He currently has a 1.89 ERA with 20 Ks in 19 IP and a WHIP just below 1.00.</p>
<p>If Kontos doesn&#8217;t pick it up and Hembree keeps pitching the way he&#8217;s been pitching at Fresno, expect the two players to trade places well before the All-Star Break.</p>
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		<title>Chicago Cubs Lock Up Anthony Rizzo</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/14/chicago-cubs-lock-up-anthony-rizzo/</link>
		<comments>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/14/chicago-cubs-lock-up-anthony-rizzo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 17:39:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Arizona Diamond Backs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago Cubs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Mariners]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The big news yesterday was the Cubs&#8217; announcement that the team had extended 23 year old 1Bman Anthony Rizzo for seven years at $41 million.  This signing continues and extends the trend of major league teams locking up their young stars with long term contracts early in their careers. At this point in his career, [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3378&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The big news yesterday was the Cubs&#8217; announcement that the team had extended 23 year old 1Bman <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rizzoan01.shtml"><strong>Anthony Rizzo</strong></a> for seven years at $41 million.  This signing continues and extends the trend of major league teams locking up their young stars with long term contracts early in their careers.</p>
<p>At this point in his career, Rizzo has exactly 685 major league plate appearances, about one full season, with a career .253 batting average and .762 OPS.  At this point Rizzo is still more promise than production, even taking into account his awful debut with the Padres in 2011, when at age 21 he batted only .141 with a .523 OPS in 49 games.</p>
<p>By way of comparison, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/castrst01.shtml"><strong>Starlin Castro</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/goldspa01.shtml"><strong>Paul Goldschmidt</strong><strong></strong></a> looked like seasoned veterans at the point that their respective teams extended them (Castro by the Cubs last August and Goldschmidt by the Diamondbacks this Spring) insofar as Castro and Goldschmidt had at least completed full seasons in which they had established themselves as star players before being extended.</p>
<p>The Cubs&#8217; thinking is obvious &#8212; they&#8217;re sold on Rizzo and they&#8217;ve locked in for the best years of his career a still very young power hitter who is more likely than not to get much better over the next three to five seasons at a very reasonable rate.  In fact, the contract contains two club options for years eight and nine which, if exercised, would raise the contract to $70 million and would keep Rizzo a Cub through age 31.</p>
<p>Rizzo, on the other hand, has potentially left a lot of money on the table for the guarantee of what should be lifetime financial security at age 23.  He also gets to play his prime years in Wrigley Field, which gives him the one of the best chances to develop into a superstar slugger.</p>
<p>Clearly, there&#8217;s a risk here for the Cubs &#8212; as noted above, Rizzo really hasn&#8217;t done much so far in his major league career, and he strikes out a lot.  Major league pitchers will find holes in Rizzo&#8217;s swing, and we don&#8217;t yet know how good Rizzo will be at making the necessary adjustments to close or at least shrink those holes.  Even so, the upside of this signing is certainly high enough to justify the $41 million risked.</p>
<p>At this point, I think the only thing standing in the way of other teams signing their young stars as relatively inexperienced as Rizzo to long term deals is that some of these young stars will choose to defer the long-term deal for at least a couple of seasons in order to establish themselves as major stars and command the much larger deals that, for example, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cainma01.shtml"><strong>Matt Cain</strong></a> (five years and $112.5 million new money) and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/poseybu01.shtml"><strong>Buster Posey</strong></a> (nine years, $167 million) recently signed with the Giants, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hernafe02.shtml"><strong>Felix Hernandez</strong></a> (five years, $135.5 million new money) signed with the Mariners and <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kershcl01.shtml"><strong>Clayton Kershaw</strong></a> will likely soon sign with the Dodgers.  Further, teams will likely wait longer to extend their young pitchers in order to see whether they can handle 200+ inning work loads for multiple seasons.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Why So Many Strikeouts?</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/14/why-so-many-strikeouts/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 14 May 2013 00:45:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boston Red Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I read this article from SI&#8217;s Joe Lemire today in which he attempts to identify the reason why strike outs are so dramatically up this year (the Tigers&#8217; and Red Sox&#8217;s staffs are both over a strikeout per inning pitched, which if they continue at their current rates through the end of the season would [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3376&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/mlb/news/20130513/strikeouts-near-no-hitters-chris-sale-matt-harvey-shelby-miller/?sct=uk_t11_a4"><strong>this article from SI&#8217;s Joe Lemire</strong></a> today in which he attempts to identify the reason why strike outs are so dramatically up this year (the Tigers&#8217; and Red Sox&#8217;s staffs are both over a strikeout per inning pitched, which if they continue at their current rates through the end of the season would set the first and second all-time records). </p>
<p>One thing I would add &#8212; one reason that batters strike out more now is that the gradual rise of sabrmetrics over the last 30 years has established that batting average is a lot less important to scoring runs than either on-base percentage or slugging percentage.  In other words, hitters can help an offense more by hitting a lot of home runs and drawing a lot of walks than hitting for a high average.</p>
<p>Lemire notes that fewer hitters now have a two-strike approach, seeking to hit home runs with two strikes rather than simply putting the ball in play.  As a result, he writes, strikeouts with two strikes are up 13% compared to 25 years ago.  What he fails to expressly note, although he provides the raw data, is that two-strike home runs are up 24% over the same period. </p>
<p>24% more home runs at the cost of 13% more strikeouts?  That sounds like a great trade-off to me, particularly when you take into account the fact that major league defense has steadily improved throughout major league history, meaning that simply putting the ball in play is less likely to result in a base runner than it did 25 or more years ago.</p>
<p>Also, recognition of the value of walks, and the players who draw them, has increased in the last 30 years.  Strikeout rates have accordingly increased, because batters who take more close pitches, and thus draw more walks, also tend to strike out more.  Anyone who has ever watched baseball on TV knows that major league pitchers throw to the corners, and umpires are anything but consistent in calling those pitches balls or strikes.</p>
<p><a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/mlb/news/20130416/red-sox-boston-marathon-bombing/index.html"><strong>SI&#8217;s Tom Verducci wrote an article about a month ago</strong></a> in which he attributes the increase in strikeouts to more pitchers mastering the cutter (cut fastball) and two-seam fastball combination.  Essentially, the two pitches are both fastballs which tail in opposite directions, making it extremely difficult for hitters to square up either pitch.</p>
<p>On the one hand, I find it hard to believe that major league pitchers haven&#8217;t been using different grips on their fastballs to get different movement for any less than the last 100 years.  On the other hand, I definitely think there is a higher percentage of major league pitchers today with both the arm strength and the training to throw different fastballs with sharp movement in different directions than ever before.  </p>
<p>For example, in <em>Ball Four</em> written in 1970, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/boutoji01.shtml"><strong>Jim Bouton</strong></a> strongly suggests that major league pitching coaches of his era were so mediocre that really helpful ones like <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sainjo01.shtml"><strong>Johnny Sain</strong></a> were the exception rather than the rule.  I doubt that&#8217;s the case today.  Not every pitching coach today may be as good as the Giants&#8217; <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/righeda01.shtml"><strong>Dave Righetti</strong></a>, but most teams now have a pitching coach who can help any pitcher willing to listen.</p>
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		<title>San Francisco Giants Minor League Update, Part IV: Class A Augusta GreenJackets</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/11/san-francisco-giants-minor-league-update-part-iv-class-a-augusta-greenjackets/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 11 May 2013 22:40:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Augusta GreenJackets are currently 19-14 and in third place in the South Atlantic League&#8217;s Southern Division, a game and a half out of first place.  Augusta has traditionally been a terrific place for pitchers, and the 2013 GreenJackets have a roster geared mostly at developing young arms. As such, I&#8217;ll start with a run-down [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3374&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Augusta GreenJackets are currently 19-14 and in third place in the South Atlantic League&#8217;s Southern Division, a game and a half out of first place.  Augusta has traditionally been a terrific place for pitchers, and the 2013 GreenJackets have a roster geared mostly at developing young arms.</p>
<p>As such, I&#8217;ll start with a run-down of the GreenJackets&#8217; pitching prospects.  <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=608717"><strong>Chris Stratton</strong></a>, the Giants&#8217; 1st round Draft pick last year (20th overall), has a 3.02 ERA with a pitching line of 35.2 innings pitched, 24 hits, two HRs and 12 walks allowed and 42 Ks after six starts.  He&#8217;s basically on track for where he should be at this early stage of his professional career.</p>
<p>Last year&#8217;s second round pick (84th overall) <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=622094"><strong>Martin Agosta</strong></a> is pitching slightly better.  He has a 2.01 ERA with a pitching line of 31.1 IP, 22 hits, two HRs and 13 BBs allowed and 45 Ks.  Stratton and Agosta are both 22 this year.</p>
<p>21 year old Dominican and former bonus baby <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=593340"><strong>Joan Gregorio</strong></a> was terrific in his first four starts, posting a 1.42 ERA and striking out 25 while walking only one in 19 innings pitched.  However, he strained an oblique muscle and hasn&#8217;t pitched since April 25th.  Another 21 year old Dominican <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=572309"><strong>Kendry Flores</strong></a> currently has a 2.65 ERA with 28 Ks and only five walks in 34 IP and a WHIP below 1.00. </p>
<p>One thing to note about these four young starters is that none is listed as weighing more than 186 pounds, which is something of a cause for concern.  Sure, they&#8217;re young and will likely continue to put on weight; however, they&#8217;re not that young, and it&#8217;s clear that none of the them is going to develop into the kind of big-bodied pitcher who tends to get hurt less than smaller-framed pitchers.</p>
<p>So far, the most impressive of the GreenJackets&#8217; relievers is 22 year old right-hander <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=571882"><strong>Derek Law</strong></a>, who has a 2.70 ERA and has struck out 27 while walking eight in 20 innings of work. Righty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=571882"><strong>Tyler Mizenko</strong></a> has pitched even better, having yet to allow a run this season after 14 appearances and 15.1 innings of work.  However, Mizenko is a year older than Law and his command appears more iffy.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=622240"><strong>Brandon Farley</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=608690"><strong>Mason McVey</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=621283"><strong>Stephen Johnson</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=571687"><strong>Ian Gardek</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=595345"><strong>Steven Okert</strong></a> have also been effective out of the bullpen this spring and none is older than 22.</p>
<p>Among the position players, SS <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=622110"><strong>Matthew Duffy</strong></a> is off to the best start, batting .283/.400/.383, as I write this.  Duffy is a 22 year old out of Long Beach State, whom the Giants selected in the 18th round of the Draft last year.  He didn&#8217;t make my list of the Giants&#8217; top 60 prospects compiled last November.</p>
<p>Neither did <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=623374"><strong>Shayne Houck</strong></a>, a 22 year old 3Bman who went to the same small college as Ryan Vogelsong (Kutztown University in Pennsylvania).  However, he&#8217;s currently hitting .347 with a .443 on-base percentage in 23 games.  However, Houck has no power to speak of.</p>
<p>One player who made my pre-season list of top Giants&#8217; prospects and is off to a good start in 2013 is <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=554371"><strong>Jesus Galindo</strong></a>, whom I ranked 38th.  A 22 year old outfielder from Venezuela, Galindo is hitting .280/.384/.346 with 19 stolen bases in 23 attempts.</p>
<p>Youngsters <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=622209"><strong>Tyler Hollick</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=605440"><strong>Travious Relaford </strong></a>and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592442"><strong>Charles Jones</strong></a>, whom I ranked 22nd, 23rd and 44th on my list of prospects, have all struggled at Augusta this spring.  Hollick, after hitting .178 with a .512 OPS in 15 games for the GreenJackets, has apparently been sent back to extended Spring Training to await the start of the short-season A leagues.  He&#8217;ll most likely be assigned to Salem-Keizer in the Northwest League. </p>
<p>Charles Jones, currently hitting .167 with a .483 OPS after 31 games played, looks likely to join Hollick back in Arizona soon.  Both Hollick and Jones are only 20 this year, so their failures to hit full-season Class A pitching is not yet a major cause for concern.</p>
<p>Relaford, a 21 year old shortstop, hit .231 with a .516 OPS in 14 games at Augusta and was then promoted up to the AA Richmond Flying Squirrels to take the roster space of the injured <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=522848"><strong>Skyler Stromsmoe</strong></a>.  Relaford is actually hitting a little bit better in limited playing time in Richmond than he did in Augusta, but you have to think the Giants will return Relaford to a level where he can start every game as soon as the right opportunity presents itself.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&amp;t=t_ibp&amp;cid=478"><strong>You can find the stats for the all the 2013 Augusta GreenJackets here</strong></a>.</p>
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		<title>San Francisco Giants Minor League Update, Part III: A+ San Jose Giants</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/09/san-francisco-giants-minor-league-update-part-iii-a-san-jose-giants/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 22:35:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The San Jose Giants are the SF Giants&#8217; best minor league club so far this year, and despite a rash of injuries are likely to remain so at least until their top pitchers start to get promoted.  The SJ Giants are currently 22-11 and in first place by half a game in the California League [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3371&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The San Jose Giants are the SF Giants&#8217; best minor league club so far this year, and despite a rash of injuries are likely to remain so at least until their top pitchers start to get promoted.  The SJ Giants are currently 22-11 and in first place by half a game in the California League North Division.  The team has hitting and even better pitching, although some key arms are currently on the disabled list.</p>
<p>Right fielder <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=RF&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=571749"><strong>Devin Harris</strong></a> is currently tied for the California League lead with ten HRs, and he&#8217;s tied for second with 27 RBIs.  Unfortunately, he&#8217;s also already 25 years old, which doesn&#8217;t make him much of a prospect at this level.</p>
<p>Same story for 2Bman <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=2B&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=571551"><strong>Ryan Cavan.</strong></a>  He&#8217;s currently leading the California League with a .363 batting average, but he turns 26 in late June.</p>
<p>Catcher <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=594740"><strong>Jeff Arnold</strong></a> currently has a .394 on-base percentage and .932 OPS in 22 games.  He&#8217;s also 25 years old, but catchers generally get more opportunities to be late bloomers.  1Bman <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=519262"><strong>Miles Schroeder</strong></a> is hitting a very even .300/.400/.500, but he&#8217;s also 25 years old.</p>
<p>Among position players young enough to be prospects at this level, 23 year old SS <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=605509"><strong>Kelby Tomlinson</strong></a> is batting .328/.381/.379, but hasn&#8217;t played since April 27th due to a strained quadriceps muscle.  22 year old outfielder <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=607776"><strong>Mac Williamson,</strong></a> last year&#8217;s 3rd round Draft pick out of Wake Forest, is hitting .256/.331/.427, but has struck out 32 times in 117 at-bats.</p>
<p>23 year old left fielder <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=572387"><strong>Shawn Payn</strong><strong>e</strong></a>, who had a break-out season at Class A Augusta last year, has a .363 on-base percentage, but a slump over his last ten games has dropped his batting average to .252 and his slugging percentage to 309.  22 year old 1Bman <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=505830"><strong>Angel Villalona,</strong></a> in his first year back in the United States after late 2009 murder charges in the Dominican Republic, has six home runs and 13 extra base hits, but his on-base percentage is an awful .279 and he&#8217;s tied for the team lead in strike outs with Williamson.  23 year old center fielder <strong><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=594904">Chris Lofton</a></strong> has a .337 OBP, but it&#8217;s doing much else with the bat.</p>
<p>The SJ Giants&#8217; top prospects are pitchers, and it&#8217;s a good bet that the organization is starting so many minor league veterans like Harris, Cavan, Schroeder and Arnold in part to make winners out of their young pitchers.</p>
<p>At this moment the SJ Giants&#8217; top prospect is probably 20 year old right-hander <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=594904"><strong>Clayton Blackburn</strong></a>.  He&#8217;s been hit hard in his last two starts, allowing nine runs, seven of them earned, in 11 innings pitched, which has raised his ERA to an even 3.00.  However, he&#8217;s allowed only 24 hits and six walks in 33 IP while striking out 42.  His ERA is relatively high because he&#8217;s allowed four home runs.</p>
<p>21 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=546276"><strong>Edwin Escobar</strong> </a>has also seen his ERA jump about a run in his last two starts up to 3.04, but he&#8217;s struck out 38 batters in 26.2 innings pitched while allowing only 23 hits and six walks.  23 year old righty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592529"><strong>Christopher &#8220;Thousand Ships&#8221; Marlowe</strong></a> has a 1.73 ERA after five starts, but his ratios aren&#8217;t great.</p>
<p>20 year old righty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=605195"><strong>Kyle Crick</strong></a>, <a href="http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/01/03/san-francisco-giants-top-prospects-2013-part-i-1-12/"><strong>whom I rated as the Giants&#8217; best pitching prospect last November and second overall</strong></a> (MLB.com rated him as the Giants&#8217; top overall prospect), had an 0.93 ERA after three starts.  However, he had a run average over 5.00 and was very wild, walking nine in 9.2 IP (but striking out 12).  Crick then strained an oblique muscle and hasn&#8217;t pitched since April 18th.</p>
<p>20 year old lefty and former Dominican bonus baby <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=606167"><strong>Adelberto Mejia</strong></a> also got off to a fairly good start this year, but he just went on the seven-day disabled list this past Tuesday with an as yet unreported injury.</p>
<p>22 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=621389"><strong>Ty Blach</strong></a>, who the Giants drafted in the fifth round out of Creighton University last June, is 4-1 with a 1.87 ERA.  In 33.2 IP, he&#8217;s allowed 40 hits but only three walks while striking out 24 batters.  You&#8217;d like to see more strikeouts and fewer hits allowed from a top pitching prospect at this level, but it&#8217;s at least clear that Blach has excellent command and may simply need to learn that he doesn&#8217;t need to give in to hitters when he&#8217;s behind in the count.</p>
<p>The San Jose Giants are using a six-man rotation this season, and with Kyle Crick hurt, right-hander <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=488878"><strong>Austin Fleet</strong></a> has made what would have been Crick&#8217;s last two starts.  Fleet currently has a 2.61 ERA with 23 Ks in 20.2 IP while allowing only 12 hits and six walks.  Unfortunately, Fleet is already 26 years old and should probably be pitching at AA Richmond where he spent most of the past two seasons.</p>
<p>The SJ Giants have plenty of good relievers too.  Big 24 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=488878"><strong>Josh Osich</strong></a> has a 1.13 ERA after 12 appearances with 19 Ks in 16 IP and a WHIP just under 1.00.  Even bigger 23 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=542907"><strong>Bryce Bandilla</strong></a> has struck out a very impressive 36 batters in only 21 innings pitched, but he&#8217;s also walked 12 and given up a couple of dingers to push his ERA over 4.00.</p>
<p>Righ-handers <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=521060"><strong>Luis Rojas</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=519326"><strong>Hunter Strickland</strong></a> have also pitched well so far.  Rojas is 23 this season, and Strickland is 24.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&amp;t=t_ibp&amp;cid=476"><strong>You can find all of the 2013 San Jose Giants&#8217; stats here</strong></a>.</p>
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		<title>So Much for Instant Replay</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/09/so-much-for-instant-replay/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 18:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baseball History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Indians]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oakland A's]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/?p=3369</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The big topic of conversation last night and today is the umpires completely blowing the replay review of Adam Rosales&#8217; should-a-been home run in last night&#8217;s Indians-A&#8217;s game.  Here is the video from espn.com. I don&#8217;t have a whole lot to add from what others have said/written.  Here&#8217;s a good article from Jay Jaffe of [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3369&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The big topic of conversation last night and today is the umpires completely blowing the replay review of Adam Rosales&#8217; should-a-been home run in last night&#8217;s Indians-A&#8217;s game.  <a href="http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/9258435/mlb-says-umpires-made-wrong-call-game-oakland-athletics-cleveland-indians"><strong>Here is the video from espn.com</strong></a>.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t have a whole lot to add from what others have said/written.  <a href="http://mlb.si.com/2013/05/09/the-seven-worst-things-about-the-blown-call-in-wednesdays-indians-as-game/?sct=uk_t11_a5"><strong>Here&#8217;s a good article from Jay Jaffe of Sports Illustrated</strong></a>.  Still, it&#8217;s too big an issue not to say something about it.</p>
<p>Umpire Angel Hernandez, consistently ranked in anonymous player polls as one of the worst five or six umpires in MLB, claimed that the replays he saw on review were not conclusive.  MLB today said that the replay system in place allows the umpires on review to see all the replays from the at least two broadcasts of the game.  In other words, the umpires should have seen what everyone else in America could see &#8212; a ball that unmistakeably hit the railing well above the yellow home run line &#8212; a no-doubt-about-it (at least on replay) home run.</p>
<p>My gut feeling about this situation is that the umpiring crew essentially made a collective decision that they weren&#8217;t going to overturn the call on the field no matter what the replay showed, which is essentially what happens when an umpire blows a call not subject to replay.  Even if the umpire realizes he blew a ball/strike call or a safe/out call on the bases, he sticks with his initial/called decision, and at most only admits later after the game that he made a mistake. If this in fact is what happened, it completely defeats the purpose of having an instant replay system at all.</p>
<p>It remains to be seen what, if anything, MLB will do to compel umpires to get with the program, but one thing is obvious.  It is a huge black eye for MLB that even a call as obviously wrong as this one can&#8217;t be overturned in the very limited circumstances in which calls can be reviewed.  If umpires cannot be fully trusted that they are making their best efforts to make the right call or correct their mistakes when the rules specifically allow further review, it undermines the legitimacy of game outcomes.</p>
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		<title>San Francisco Giants Minor League Update, Part II: AA Richmond Flying Squirrels</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/09/san-francisco-giants-minor-league-update-part-ii-aa-richmond-flying-squirrels/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 05:23:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Richmond Flying Squirrels are currently 16-15 and in second place in the AA Eastern League&#8217;s Western Division, three games behind the Erie Sea Wolves (Detroit Tigers). When you take into account that Richmond is a pitchers&#8217; park in a pitchers&#8217; league (compared to Fresno, which while not the best place to hit in the [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3363&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Richmond Flying Squirrels are currently 16-15 and in second place in the AA Eastern League&#8217;s Western Division, three games behind the Erie Sea Wolves (Detroit Tigers).</p>
<p>When you take into account that Richmond is a pitchers&#8217; park in a pitchers&#8217; league (compared to Fresno, which while not the best place to hit in the hit-happy Pacific Coast League, is still better than the PCL league average for hitters), the Flying Squirrels appear to have more legitimate position prospects than pitching prospects.  At the top of the list of position players, in terms of his potential as a future San Francisco Giant, is <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=605412"><strong>Joe Panik</strong></a>.</p>
<p>The Giants&#8217; 1st round Draft pick in in 2011 (29th overall) out of St. John&#8217;s University, Panik is off to fine start this season.  He&#8217;s currently hitting .306/.387/.405, excellent for a 22 year old middle infielder (he played shortstop last year at A+ San Jose, but is playing 2B this year) in his first season of AA ball.  <a href="http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/01/03/san-francisco-giants-top-prospects-2013-part-i-1-12/"><strong>I ranked Panik No. 1 on my pre-season list of the Giants&#8217; top prospects</strong></a>, based on his age, draft pedigree and past minor league performance.  31 games into the 2013 season he hasn&#8217;t done anything to make me look stupid.</p>
<p>23 year old catcher <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=572180"><strong>Andrew Susac</strong></a> (I ranked him 7th on my list) is also off to a great start, hitting .298/.398/.548 in 26 games.  He was the Giants&#8217; 2nd round pick in 2011.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=594807"><strong>Adam Duval</strong><strong>l</strong></a>, who hit 30 HRs and drove in 100 runs last year at A+ San Jose at age 23, got off to a torrid start in Richmond this year, batting .378/.465/.757 through the season&#8217;s first 11 games.  However, Duvall then injured his thumb and hasn&#8217;t played since April 14th.  He&#8217;s expected back in the second half of this month.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=464268"><strong>Javier Herrera</strong></a> is hitting well (.287/.389/.481) and has stolen eight bases in ten attempts, but he&#8217;s 28 this year, making him a long-shot to have a major league career even as a back-up.  23 year old SS <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=501303"><strong>Ehire Adrianza</strong></a> has a .336 on-base percentage, but isn&#8217;t hitting for average or power.</p>
<p>24 year old <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592620"><strong>Jarrett Parker</strong></a>, the Giants&#8217; 2nd round pick in 2010, has begun to hit in his last ten games, pulling up his batting numbers to .245/.327/.418, but he still strikes out way too much (32 times in only 98 at-bats).  <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543609"><strong>Ricky Oropesa</strong></a>, the Giants&#8217; 3rd round pick in 2011 is struggling mightily (.196/.246/.277) with his first crack at AA pitching.</p>
<p>Among the Flying Squirrels&#8217; starting pitchers, the only one really impressing at this point is <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543160"><strong>Justin Fitzgerald</strong></a>, who after six starts has a 3-0 record with an outstanding 1.09 ERA.  In 33 innings pitched, he&#8217;s allowed 30 hits, but only two HRs and eight walks, to go with 41 Ks.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, Fitzgerald is already 27 years old, which doesn&#8217;t make him much of a major league prospect.  However, if he continues to pitch the way he has so far at Richmond, the Giants will promote him soon to replace one of the many starters currently getting bombed at AAA Fresno.  Once in AAA ball, Fitzgerald is only continued good pitching and perhaps an injury away from the major leagues.</p>
<p>Richmond&#8217;s remaining starters fail to impress.  <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=607422"><strong>Jack Snodgrass</strong></a> is 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA after six starts, but he&#8217;s struck out only 11 batters in 27.2 IP while walking 12.  Yuck!</p>
<p>However, Snodgrass has allowed only 18 hits and no home runs, which suggests that he&#8217;s a sinkerball pitcher.  Sinkerballers can sometimes have successful major league careers without striking anyone out, but at this point I wouldn&#8217;t count on the 25 year old Snodgrass to be one of them.  In fact, Snodgrass is currently on the seven-day disabled list with a hamstring injury.</p>
<p>The Flying Squirrels&#8217; other three starters have ugly ERAs for a pitchers&#8217; park in a pitchers&#8217; league.  26 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543224"><strong>Chris Gloor</strong></a> has 22 Ks and only eight walks allowed in 22.2 IP, but he&#8217;s been hit hard.  At his age, the Giants should probably move Gloor into relief for good, because I doubt there&#8217;s any way he makes the majors otherwise.</p>
<p>24 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=607029"><strong>Phil McCormick</strong></a> has been the Flying Squirrels&#8217; best reliever so far this year, posting a 1.93 ERA and striking out 22 (but walking nine) in 18.2 innings of work.  Fellow lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=502132"><strong>Tom Vessela</strong></a> has an even better ERA (1.33), but he&#8217;s only struck out 11 (and walked seven) in 20.1 IP.  Vessela is also three years older than McCormick.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=489223"><strong>Edwin Quirarte</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=453402"><strong>Daryl Maday</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=492879"><strong>Jose Valdez</strong></a> have pitched fairly well also, although none appears to have particularly good command, and only Valdez is younger than 26.  Another 24 year old Dominican <strong><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=503566">Fabio Castillo</a></strong> has struck out 19 batters in 16.2 IP, but he doesn&#8217;t appear to have even AA command yet, and he&#8217;s also currently on the DL with a toe injury.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&amp;t=t_ibp&amp;cid=3410"><strong>You can find all of the Richmond Flying Squirrels&#8217; stats here</strong></a>.</p>
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		<title>San Francisco Giants&#8217; Minor League Update, Part I: The AAA Fresno Grizzlies</title>
		<link>http://notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com/2013/05/08/san-francisco-giants-minor-league-update-part-i-the-aaa-fresno-grizzlies/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 08 May 2013 18:27:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Burly</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[We are more than 30 games into the 2013 minor league year, and I thought it would be fun to do essentially a who&#8217;s-hot-who&#8217;s-not post for the Giants four full-season minor league teams. AAA Fresno Grizzlies (17-16, 2nd place and 0.5 games back in the four-team Pacific Coast League Pacific Southern Division).  The 2013 Grizzlies [&#8230;]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=notanotherbaseballblog.wordpress.com&#038;blog=7200726&#038;post=3330&#038;subd=notanotherbaseballblog&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We are more than 30 games into the 2013 minor league year, and I thought it would be fun to do essentially a who&#8217;s-hot-who&#8217;s-not post for the Giants four full-season minor league teams.</p>
<p><strong>AAA Fresno Grizzlies</strong> (17-16, 2nd place and 0.5 games back in the four-team Pacific Coast League Pacific Southern Division).  The 2013 Grizzlies have been all about the batters though 33 games, with almost all of the position starters thumping the ball.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=501317"><strong>Francisco Peguero</strong></a> was promoted to the majors after hitting .415/.433/.585 through 16 games.  2Bman <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=547887"><strong>Kensuke Tanaka</strong></a> is hitting .357/.395/.429; 1B <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=489209"><strong>Brett Pill</strong></a> is hitting .343/.367/.667; SS <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=594873"><strong>Carter Jurica</strong></a> .327/.388/.464; LF/DH <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=523261"><strong>Roger Kieschnick</strong></a> .322/.354/.602; and RF/3B <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543633"><strong>Juan Perez</strong></a> .288/.331/.492.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, none of these players walks a whole lot, and expect for Peguero, who turns 25 in June, and Jurica, who is 24 this year, all are at least 26 years old.  Former Japanese veteran Tanaka turns 32 later this month.</p>
<p>Even more unfortunately, the Grizzlies&#8217; top prospect 24 year old CF <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=518502"><strong>Gary Brown</strong></a> is struggling mightily in his first taste of AAA ball, hitting only .206/.268/.313 and stealing only four bases in seven attempts in 32 games played. The 24th overall pick of the 2010 Draft, Brown needs to figure things out now in order to maintain his place as a top-10 Giants&#8217; prospect.  In fact, if the 2013 season were to end today, I&#8217;d rank Carter Jurica, who was the Giants&#8217; 3rd round pick in the 2010 Draft and is only five days older, as a better prospect than Brown.</p>
<p>The Grizzlies&#8217; starting pitching has been brutal, with only <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=425818"><strong>Boof Bonser</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=400076"><strong>Shane Loux</strong></a> currently posting ERA&#8217;s below 5.80.  However, their ratios are terrible.  24 year old lefty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592464"><strong>Michael Kickham</strong></a> has struck out 33 batters in 30 innings pitched, but has been hit hard, with his ERA an even (and well-deserved) 6.00 after six starts.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=433589"><strong>Yusmiero Petit</strong></a>, who made a single start for the Giants in 2012, has struck out an even more impressive 46 batters in 36.1 IP but has also allowed 47 hits including nine home runs which has uglied up his ERA but good.  Adding injury to insult, Petit is currently on the seven-day disabled list after straining a muscle while swinging and missing at a pitch.</p>
<p>The Grizzlies&#8217; bullpen has been much better with 24 year old righty <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592390"><strong>Heath Hembree</strong></a> leading the pack.  He has a 2.25 ERA with a pitching line of 16 IP, 11 hits, three HRs, and four BBs walks allowed and 16 Ks.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=572827"><strong>Jake Dunning</strong></a>, <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=502130"><strong>Dan Runzler</strong></a>, and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=466459"><strong>Sandy Rosario</strong></a> have also pitched well, and <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=430673"><strong>Ramon Ramirez</strong></a> has pitched better than his 4.91 ERA suggests.  The Grizzlies&#8217; bullpen should also be strengthened by the return of <a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=466948"><strong>Jean Machi</strong></a>, who was demoted yesterday to make room for the return of <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mijarjo01.shtml"><strong>Jose Mijares</strong></a> from bereavement leave.  Machi in no way deserved this fate after recording a 1.74 ERA in nine appearances and 10.1 IP as a Giant, but the major league club decided 13 pitchers on the active roster was too many.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&amp;t=t_ibp&amp;cid=259"><strong>You can find all of the 2013 Fresno Grizzlies&#8217; stats here</strong></a>.</p>
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