Archive for February 2015

Enjoying New York’s ARod Angst

February 19, 2015

I’m a regular reader of the New York Times, and I have to say that I have really been enjoying the recent columns about how the Bombers are stuck with Alex Rodriguez for at least the start of the 2015 season.  Today’s article is particularly bitchy and pissy, and it just tickles me no end, as I think it should any fan of the other 29 teams in MLB.

Today’s article says the Yankees should show some intestinal fortitude and cut A-Fraud and eat the remaining $61 million of his contract.  Well, that might be satisfying for most baseball fans, but that’s just not the way MLB works.

Until Rodriguez actually shows he has nothing left, the Yankees won’t cut him.  MLB teams know from long experience that Americans in general and sports fans in particular are front-runners all the way.  If ARod posts a .900 OPS in 2015, all will be forgiven by most Yankees fans, at least until he stops hitting.  In fact, the 2015 Yankees look so offensively weak than an .800 OPS might be enough for Yankees fans to grin and bear Rodriguez, as long as he performs at that level.

If, on the other hand, Rodriguez posts an OPS below .600 two months into the 2015 season, the Yankees are going to be a hell of lot more likely to cut his sorry ass and eat all the remaining salary, particularly if he hasn’t yet reached the $6 million bonus that comes with his 660th home run (tying Willie Mays).   The team will probably arbitrate to reduce the total any amount they can, even though any qualified legal observer would say the odds are slim that the Yankees can eliminate any portion of the guaranteed $61 million.

Again, any fan of the other 29 teams should just be loving the Yankees’ current dilemma.  It’s only the team’s insistence on handing out contracts of the type that ARod got that allow the other teams to compete against the Yankees’ revenue streams.  If the Yankees drove harder bargains, paying only 10% or 15% more than any other team would pay for elite free agents, they’d lose 10% or 15% of the elite free agents they’re now signing, but their roster would be an awful lot deeper.

Influx of Cuban Players to Japan’s NPB Continues

February 3, 2015

In an interesting piece of international news, the Yokohama Bay Stars today announced that they had not only re-signed Yulieski Gourriel for 2015, but also signed his younger brother Yunielkis (Baseball America refers to him as Lourdes).  No word yet on what they’ll be getting paid, but my guess is that Yulieski will be getting around $3 million (less whatever substantial cut the Cuban government gets) and that Yunielkis, who is only 21, will be getting somewhere between $200,000 and $500,000.

Since Yulieski will be 31 in June and isn’t likely to defect, he doesn’t hold much interest for MLB at this point, although he has long been regarded as one of the best players in Cuba.  Yunielkis, however, is still young enough that if in the next six to eight years Cuban players are allowed to play in MLB without first having to defect, he’ll still be young enough have a successful MLB career.

If I had to guess, I’d say that Yunielkis will start Japan’s 2015 season on the Bay Stars’ minor league squad to allow him to transition to the Japanese game.  How long he stays down on the farm obviously depends on how quickly he adjusts.

Cuban defector Yoslan Herrara will also be playing for the Bay Stars in 2015.

Meanwhile, the Yomiuri Giants are apparently bringing back all three of the Cubans (one defector and two non-defectors) who played for them last season.  I’m a bit surprised they are bringing back Frederich Cepeda, who hit only .194 for Yomiuri last year and turns 35 in April.  However, he did hit with power and had more walks than hits.

Pitcher Hector Mendoza is a more interesting prospect.  He reportedly has a big fastball and at age 20 pitched briefly (5.2 innings pitched) last year for Yomiuri’s minor league team.

At this point, the question is how many more Cuban players will end up in NPB.  NPB still has its four man roster limit on the major league roster, although each team can sign additional players to play on the minor league club.  In fact, this has now become the norm, so that if a foreigner gets hurt or is ineffective at the major league level, the team can immediately call up another foreigner to fill the roster spot.

However, it appears certain now that Cuba will continue to allow players to play in NPB if the money is right for all involved.  Even so, because the MLB market for top Cuban talent is astronomically high, added to the fact that many Cuban players would much rather test their skills in MLB and live in the U.S. than in Japan, there is no reason to think that the very best young prospects won’t still try to defect. Doesn’t Think Much of Giants’ Prospects

February 2, 2015 today published it’s list of the top 100 prospects in the game.  The only Giants prospect on the list was Kyle Crick, who came in at 79th.

Crick’s ranking seems low to me, even given the fact that his command still needs a lot of work.  At age 21, he was an effective starter at the AA level with just slightly better than 11 Ks/9 IP.  That’s definitely a real prospect any way you slice it.

Crick came to pitching late, not becoming a full-time pitcher until his senior year of high school.  That cuts both ways, because it suggests he’s still got a lot to learn about pitching, but he’s still well young enough to spend full seasons at AA and AAA in 2015 and 2016 and be ready for the majors at age 24.

Crick had some injuries in 2013, but they didn’t involve his throwing arm, and the Giants limited his work load that year mainly due to his young age and an abundance of caution.

So far, there’s no reason to think he still isn’t on track a major league pitcher with great stuff by his age 24 season.  In my mind that makes him better than the 79th overall prospect in MLB, although he probably doesn’t deserve to be in the top 50.

If nothing else, it seems the Giants still like Crick enough that they weren’t willing to package him with catcher Andrew Susac for one season of Ben Zobrist, even though Zobrist would have been a perfect fit for the 2015 Giants.